Pound the Pavement

This is actually a PSA to myself. I'm the guy who looked at the first game of the playoffs for each Eastern Conference team, when Cleveland looked shaky, Boston lost to Chicago at home, the Wiz played uninspiring basketball against a hapless Hawks team and took Milwaukee's big Game 1 win over Toronto as an omen. Such a big omen that I placed a bet at +5000 on the Bucks making the Finals. Sure, I'm a grad student, so I only bet $5, but I was more confident than not that I'd get the $250 payout. But, I have taken a breath and realize that I wasted that Lincoln. Here's some breaking news to me and all the others on the hype train to the Cream City (that is a weirdly soothing nickname for a city): the Bucks aren't making the Finals because they're not ready yet. They're probably not going to win this series against the Raptors, let alone beat the Cavs AND the Wizards or the Celtics. It's not happening this year, and that's completely fine. Here&

Believe it or not, if I had to rank the NBA franchises with the bleakest futures, the Brooklyn Nets would not rank dead last. They'd rank dead next to last, but that's neither here nor there. Here's what's working for this team. They have a clear vision for a playing style. Kenny Atkinson has instituted a pace-and-space offense that's in the top five in pace and floor spreading. With Jeremy Lin and Brook Lopez in an all-wings lineup with Randy Foye (average shooter), Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (good defender, big defender, bad shooter), and Caris LeVert (promising, but still underdeveloped), they actually have a solidly positive lineup, outscoring opponents by almost 4 points per 100 possessions. Atkinson is also a great developmental mind, turning LeVert, Hollis-Jefferson, and Isaiah Whitehead into prospects who'll probably be role players on good teams. Management also has resigned to this patient, rebuilding process, trading away pieces smartly for a

Here's the plan for the next few months: Preview each series in depth - provide the strengths and weaknesses of each team, talk about how the two lineups stack up, identify some X-factors, and predictions Scheme road maps from each of the lottery teams while the playoffs are going on, and when they're done, for the playoff teams. A couple mock drafts There's going to be a lot of content coming soon. Comment below if you have something to say!

So, I recently came out and said that I'd pick Kawhi Leonard for MVP over Russell Westbrook and his triple doubles. Based on the number of OKC games I've seen, the infamous eye test gives me the impression that Russell Westbrook, when he hunts his stats causes more harm than good to the Thunder. Obviously, a true statistical approach to this question would be difficult and very time-consuming, but I did a rough analysis to gain some insight on Russell Westbrook, his triple doubles, and how they translate to wins. First bookkeeping note here. I classified each of Russ's games as a Legit Triple Double (LTD), a Barely Got There triple double (BGT), a Nearly Missed triple double (NM), and a Missed It triple double (MI). A BGT is a triple double where the sum of the number of assists and the number of rebounds is less than 22. An NM is a non-triple double where Russ had at least 9 assists or 9 rebounds. Of the 80 games I'm considering (I'm throwing out the last two ga

Even though my Tar Heels won their sixth national title last night, the utter lack of coherent play made me crave the fluidity of the NBA. So, let's talk awards. Rookie of the Year - Malcolm Brogdon Malcolm Brogdon edges out Dario Saric for me, sheerly because he's arguably the third most important player on a solid playoff team in Milwaukee. On the year, he's putting up nearly 11 points, a shade over 4 assists and almost 3 rebounds on 27 minutes a game, on 45.7/40.4/85.6 shooting splits and guarding point guards and bigger shooting guards on the other end. He's essentially the type of role player combo guard that every team with championship aspirations desires, and his contract's not even for a million dollars a year. It's not outside the realm of possibility that Brogdon develops into a 50/40/90 shooter who provides tough defense, essentially an offensively gifted Patrick Beverly, beside the offensive machinery on this team. I started out the year salivat

The Sweet Sixteen is set, and it's time for NBA viewers to think about what prospects fit best with lottery teams. I simulated a fake lottery, and let's go: 1. Boston Celtics (via Brooklyn Nets) - Markelle Fultz This is a no-brainer for Boston, affording them the ability to build steadily for a future sans Isaiah Thomas. Some kind of future core around Fultz and Jaylen Brown is a starting spot if this realization of the Celtics can't flip their future assets for a superstar. Fultz can play alongside Thomas now, as a playmaker and an off-ball scorer, making Smart and/or Bradley expendable for trades. 2. Phoenix Suns - Josh Jackson Phoenix doesn't need one of the point guards in this point guard rich draft. But they could really benefit from a swing-forward. They'll probably be deciding between Josh Jackson and Jayson Tatum, the former of which is more athletic, a better play-maker, and a much superior defender, all the while being a worse offensive player, at